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ONITY GROUP INC. (OCN)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 delivered a sharp rebound in profitability: GAAP net income $30.1M and diluted EPS $3.74; adjusted pre‐tax income $14M, with annualized adjusted pre‐tax ROE of 13.8% .
  • Revenue declined 8.7% YoY to $239.1M on lower servicing fees and reverse gains, but operating expenses fell ~8.5% YoY; net income margin improved to ~12.6% versus -15.4% in Q1 2023 .
  • Strategic and balance sheet actions: $47M of PHH senior secured notes repurchased below par; liquidity $219M; book value per share $56; Moody’s upgraded corporate family rating to B3 in April 2024 .
  • Rebrand to Onity Group Inc. with ticker ONIT began in June (subject to shareholder approval at the time); management emphasized “capital‑light” subservicing growth and deleveraging as key drivers going forward .
  • Street (S&P Global) consensus data was unavailable through our SPGI connector for Q1 2024, so estimate comparisons are not provided; see Estimates Context section.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Profitability improved materially: net income swung to $30.1M (vs. $(40.2)M in Q1’23) and diluted EPS to $3.74 (vs. $(5.34)); adjusted pre‑tax income rose to $14M; Opex down $9.7M YoY (‑8.5%) .
  • Subservicing growth and “capital‑light” strategy: $23B total servicing additions including $19B subservicing additions; ending subservicing UPB $169B; CEO: “Our strategy of capital‑light growth has enabled us to steadily grow our subservicing portfolio…” .
  • Deleveraging and ratings momentum: repurchased $47M of PHH senior notes below par; Moody’s upgraded corporate family rating to B3 in April 2024 .

Quotation (CEO): “We reported strong results in the first quarter… driven by the strength of our balanced business and operational performance in both our servicing and originations segments.”

What Went Wrong

  • Top‑line pressure: total revenue fell 8.7% YoY to $239.1M as servicing/subservicing fees declined to $204.5M (from $232.2M) and reverse fair‑value gains decreased to $15.4M (from $21.2M) .
  • Rate‑sensitive items still volatile: MSR valuation adjustments remained negative (net $(11.6)M), and pledged MSR liability expense was sizable at $(44.9)M; interest expense remained elevated at $(67.4)M .
  • Originations still not a major earnings driver: mix shifted to higher margin products (41% vs. 31% Q1’23), but management continued to point to servicing as the primary profit engine .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance (key items)

MetricQ1 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Total Revenue ($M)261.8 255.5 277.4 (derived from FY 2023 $1,066.7 less Q1 $261.8, Q2 $272.0, Q3 $255.5) 239.1
Net Income ($M)(40.2) 8.5 (47.0) 30.1
Diluted EPS ($)(5.34) 1.05 N/A (not disclosed)3.74
Net Income Margin (%)(15.4)% (calc: -40.2/261.8) 3.3% (calc: 8.5/255.5) (16.9)% (calc: -47.0/277.4) 12.6% (calc: 30.1/239.1)

Note: Q4 2023 revenue is derived from FY 2023 total revenue less Q1–Q3 quarterly revenues disclosed in company press releases; margins are calculated from reported revenue and net income (citations provided).

Revenue Composition (Q1 YoY)

Revenue Component ($M)Q1 2023Q1 2024
Servicing and subservicing fees232.2 204.5
Gain on reverse loans held for investment and HMBS-related borrowings, net21.2 15.4
Gain on loans held for sale, net2.8 10.9
Other revenue, net5.6 8.3
Total Revenue261.8 239.1

Operating Expenses (Q1 YoY)

Operating Expense ($M)Q1 2023Q1 2024
Compensation and benefits58.0 53.6
Servicing and origination15.7 15.0
Technology and communications13.4 12.7
Professional services13.3 12.0
Occupancy, equipment and mailing8.8 7.7
Other expenses4.9 3.4
Total Operating Expenses114.1 104.4

Other P&L Items (Q1 YoY)

Other Income (Expense) ($M)Q1 2023Q1 2024
Interest income14.1 17.5
Interest expense(62.3) (67.4)
Pledged MSR liability expense(70.3) (44.9)
Earnings of equity method investee0.3 2.7
Gain on extinguishment of debt1.4
Total Other Income (Expense), net(117.0) (91.3)

KPIs and Balance Sheet Highlights

KPIPrior PeriodCurrent Period
Ending servicing UPB$302B (Mar 31, 2024)
Ending subservicing UPB$169B (Mar 31, 2024)
Total liquidity ($M)$242 (Dec 31, 2023) $219 (Mar 31, 2024)
Book value per share$52 (Dec 31, 2023) $56 (Mar 31, 2024)
PHH senior secured notes repurchased$15M in FY 2023 $47M in Q1 2024
Corporate family ratingUpgraded to B3 (Apr 2024)

Non‑GAAP bridge (Q1 2024): Reported pre‑tax income $31.8M; MSR and other notables net +$18M; adjusted pre‑tax income $14M; annualized adjusted pre‑tax ROE 13.8% .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Corporate leverage (Debt/Equity) target2024+Not specifiedManagement discussed targeting “under 3.9x” debt‑to‑equity as part of deleveraging and refinancing preparationsNew color (call Q&A)
Brand/ticker changeQ2 2024N/ARebrand to Onity Group Inc.; begin trading as “ONIT” in June, subject to shareholder approval (at the time)New corporate action
Quantitative revenue/EPS guidanceNoneNone providedMaintained (no formal numeric guidance) ; call transcript corroborates lack of numeric guidance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2023 (11/7/23)Q4 2023 (2/27/24)Q1 2024 (5/2/24)Trend
Subservicing/Capital‑light growthGrew total servicing UPB to $296B; subservicing $167B; extended MAV investment period; renewed Rithm subservicing .Servicing anchored results; adjusted PTI positive; highlighted MSR capital partners and special servicing wins .$23B additions ($19B subservicing); ending subservicing UPB $169B; continued emphasis on capital‑light growth .Positive, scaling subservicing platform
Deleveraging & refinancing prepRepurchased $14M PHH notes; cost reductions ongoing .Board approval to retire up to $40M more notes in 2024; liquidity $242M .Repurchased $47M notes; targeted leverage under ~3.9x discussed in Q&A .Accelerating deleveraging
MSR valuation/hedgingMixed MSR valuation impacts; operating model resilient .Increased target MSR hedge coverage ratio, “currently at 100%,” to manage GAAP volatility .Hedge coverage discussed as ~90–110% band; market demand supported MSR valuation in Q1 (CFO) .Stable/high hedge coverage to dampen rate volatility
Originations mix/earningsPositive earnings despite headwinds; higher‑margin product mix maintained .Increased higher‑margin product mix to 39% in 2023; originations not core earnings driver in high‑rate environment .Higher‑margin mix at 41% in Q1; originations still small earnings contributor .Incremental mix improvement; earnings leverage awaits lower rates
Rebranding/positioningRebrand to Onity Group; confidence in platform and team (CEO) .New brand to reflect evolution

Management Commentary

  • CEO (Q1 press release): “Our strategy of capital‑light growth has enabled us to steadily grow our subservicing portfolio… Our actions to increase shareholder value resulted in improved return on equity and book value per share… we made significant progress on our deleveraging objective by reducing corporate debt by $47 million.”
  • CEO (Q1 press release): “We are excited about our previously announced plans to rebrand Ocwen to Onity Group… and we believe we have a strong foundation… to accelerate growth through interest rate cycles.”
  • CFO (Q1 call, Q&A): “We maintain a high hedge coverage ratio, operating in the 90 to 110 range… This approach mitigates both upward and downward impacts of interest rate moves.”
  • CEO (Q1 call, Q&A): Plan to grow subservicing while keeping owned MSR UPB in roughly the $115–$135B range and use excess liquidity for deleveraging .

Q&A Highlights

  • Hedging posture: Management reiterated a high hedge coverage (~90–110%) to dampen MSR mark volatility amid rate moves (CFO) .
  • Capital allocation: Emphasis on subservicing growth and deleveraging; excess liquidity prioritized for debt reduction; owned MSR UPB targeted in the ~$115–$135B range (CEO) .
  • Refinancing preparation: Management referenced targeting leverage “under 3.9x” Debt/Equity as part of readiness for corporate debt refinancing (CEO) .
  • Operating leverage in servicing: Market demand supported MSR valuation assumptions; operating cost advantages accrue through P&L rather than MSR marks (CEO/CFO) .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus data was unavailable through our connector for OCN (missing CIQ mapping), so official Street comparisons for revenue and EPS cannot be provided for Q1 2024 at this time. We therefore anchor on reported results from the company’s 8‑K press release and related materials .
  • If needed, we can refresh this section once S&P Global mapping is restored or provided.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Servicing‑led earnings inflection: Despite revenue headwinds, OCN delivered a strong profit rebound and double‑digit net margin, underpinned by cost discipline and servicing strength .
  • Subservicing flywheel: $19B in subservicing additions and UPB growth support capital‑light ROE expansion, reducing balance‑sheet intensity versus owned MSRs .
  • Balance sheet de‑risking: $47M of notes repurchased and leverage targets underscore intent to refinance on stronger footing; Moody’s upgrade is a supportive signal .
  • Rate risk managed via hedging: High hedge coverage (~90–110%) helps smooth GAAP earnings through rate cycles while preserving operating economics (CFO) .
  • Originations optionality: Mix is skewing to higher‑margin products (41% vs. 31% in Q1’23), positioning the platform to benefit if/when rates normalize .
  • Rebrand to Onity as narrative catalyst: The ONIT identity aligns with operational execution and may broaden investor attention as balance‑sheet and earnings trends improve .
  • Near‑term focus: Watch subservicing onboarding cadence, debt reduction progress/leverage trajectory, and sustained Opex discipline as key supports for multiple expansion and book value accretion .

References and Sources:

  • Q1 2024 8‑K press release and financial tables: .
  • Q4 2023 8‑K press release and FY 2023 tables: .
  • Q3 2023 8‑K press release and financial tables: .
  • Company news release page (Q1 2024 results): .
  • Q1 2024 call transcript/reporting (for quotes/themes): .